Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK): This Isn’t A Speed Bump

The average 12-month price target analysts expect from Alaska Air Group, Inc. (NYSE:ALK) is $75.13. This mean price target represents 34.09% upside over its previous closing price. The stock enjoyed an overall downtrend of -7.92% from the beginning of 2019. The closing share price quoted for March 13, 2019 was $56.03. The 3.59% rally might have been tempting for an investor to buy at this point and in fact that would prove a good idea, as sell-side analysts think there is almost 69.55% more gain yet to come for shareholders. Analysts seemed to set $95 as highest price target on its way to greater gains. The median price target they presented was $75 for the next 12-months, which suggests a 33.86% upside from current levels. Some analysts have a lowest price target on the stock of $61, which would mean a 8.87% gain in value.

A fresh roundup today notes that ALK stock has lost around -14.82% of its value in the past 12 months, suggesting more investors have expressed concern about about in that time period. If we turn to the Street in general, the positives still outweigh the negatives as we can see that Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK), have a ,neutral (2.2) analyst consensus rating. In the current time, the stock has 10 buy and 7 hold ratings. The stock registered its 52-week high of $74.83 on November 29 and its 52-week low of $53.7 on March 12. Currently, the shares are trading $-6.48 below its YTD moving average of $62.51.

Moving on, Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) last reported its December 2019 earnings. For brief highlights, it performed weak in that quarter, with earnings down -10% year-over-year at $0.75. The company surprised analysts by 6 who were expecting $0.71 per share. Overall, its quarterly revenues jumped by 5% to reach $2.06 billion, while it had reported $1.96 billion in the same period a year ago. To see what investors should really expect from its March 2019 financial results consensus analyst estimates are calling for current quarter earnings per share of $0.06, down from $0.14 in the same quarter a year ago. However, earnings-per-share are expected to see growth of 10.64% in next year. From there, the company believes it can achieve a long-term annual earnings growth rate of 11.67 %. At the other end of the income statement, we have seen revenue of $8.26 billion over the trailing 12 months.

To help you decide whether it’s worth the wait (and the money), Alaska Air Group, Inc. (NYSE:ALK) is currently trading at 15.9X the company’s trailing-12-month earnings per share, which represents a discount compared to the sector’s 24.29X and comes in above its industry’s 13.58X. The most popular method for valuing a stock is to study the historic Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio using reported earnings for the past 12 months. The EPS number for this stock in the most recent four quarters of earnings stood at $3.53. P/E ratio is so popular because it’s simple, it’s effective, and, tautologically, because everyone uses it.

The 14-day Absolute ATR (Average True Range) on Wednesday, March 13 of 2019 shows that the price on average moves $1.45. The average daily volatility is 2.53% over the past week. Low volatility is good for the stock and it means we have calm and confident investors. If you check recent Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) volume, you will see that it has changed to 3.54 million shares versus the average daily volume of 1.74 million shares.

When you look at the daily chart for ALK, you will observe the stock held -17.78% losses in the 6-month period and maintains 4.34% distance from its most recent low. The past 5-day performance for the share stays positive at 0.36% but down -8.47% from its three-week moving average. Comparing to 50-day SMA, Alaska Air Group, Inc. shares price is now down -10.45%. It also closed -12.24% lower from its 200-day SMA. This is often seen as the last line of defense for long term trends to find support at, else be considered broken and/or in a bear market. The daily chart of the stock more clearly reveals the slide in prices as it closed Wednesday with a 1-month performance at -15.49%.