Has The Southern Company (SO) Changed The Narrative?

The average 12-month price target analysts expect from The Southern Company (NYSE:SO) is $49.56. This mean price target represents -4.47% downside over its previous closing price. The stock enjoyed an overall uptrend of 18.12% from the beginning of 2019. The closing share price quoted for March 22, 2019 was $51.88. The 0.6% rally might have been tempting for an investor to buy at this point and in fact that would prove a good idea, as sell-side analysts think there is almost 4.09% more gain yet to come for shareholders. Analysts seemed to set $54 as highest price target on its way to greater gains. The median price target they presented was $50 for the next 12-months, which suggests a -3.62% upside from current levels. Some analysts have a lowest price target on the stock of $44, which would mean a -15.19% gain in value.

A fresh roundup today notes that SO stock has added around 18.18% of its value in the past 12 months, suggesting more investors have expressed joy over about in that time period. If we turn to the Street in general, the negaitives still outweigh the positives as we can see that The Southern Company (SO), have a sell (3.2) analyst consensus rating. In the current time, the stock has 2 buy and 12 hold ratings. The stock registered its 52-week high of $51.95 on March 22 and its 52-week low of $42.42 on May 18. Currently, the shares are trading $3.13 above its YTD moving average of $48.75.

Moving on, The Southern Company (SO) last reported its December 2019 earnings. For brief highlights, it performed weak in that quarter, with earnings down -51% year-over-year at $0.25. The company surprised analysts by 9 who were expecting $0.23 per share. Overall, its quarterly revenues dropped by -5% to reach $5.34 billion, while it had reported $5.63 billion in the same period a year ago. To see what investors should really expect from its March 2019 financial results consensus analyst estimates are calling for current quarter earnings per share of $0.74, down from $0.88 in the same quarter a year ago. However, earnings-per-share are expected to see growth of 3.33% in next year. From there, the company believes it can achieve a long-term annual earnings growth rate of 2.16 %. At the other end of the income statement, we have seen revenue of $23.5 billion over the trailing 12 months.

To help you decide whether it’s worth the wait (and the money), The Southern Company (NYSE:SO) is currently trading at 24.22X the company’s trailing-12-month earnings per share, which represents a premium compared to the sector’s 14.75X and comes in above its industry’s 13.32X. The most popular method for valuing a stock is to study the historic Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio using reported earnings for the past 12 months. The EPS number for this stock in the most recent four quarters of earnings stood at $2.14. P/E ratio is so popular because it’s simple, it’s effective, and, tautologically, because everyone uses it.

The 14-day Absolute ATR (Average True Range) on Friday, March 22 of 2019 shows that the price on average moves $0.64. The average daily volatility is 1.32% over the past week. Low volatility is good for the stock and it means we have calm and confident investors. If you check recent The Southern Company (SO) volume, you will see that it has changed to 6.06 million shares versus the average daily volume of 5.22 million shares.

When you look at the daily chart for SO, you will observe the stock held 18.72% gains in the 6-month period and maintains 22.3% distance from its most recent low. The past 5-day performance for the share stays positive at 0.04% but up 2.37% from its three-week moving average. Comparing to 50-day SMA, The Southern Company shares price is now up 5.67%. It also closed 11.63% higher from its 200-day SMA. This is often seen as the last line of defense for long term trends to find support at, else be considered broken and/or in a bear market. The daily chart of the stock more clearly reveals the slide in prices as it closed Friday with a 1-month performance at 3.31%.